TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 8:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This market determines which team will score more points in the first quarter of an upcoming college football game between Miami (FL) and Clemson. It focuses solely on the performance during the initial 15 minutes of play, ignoring the rest of the game.
If Clemson wins the 1st quarter of the Miami (FL) vs Clemson college football game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Miami (FL) wins the 1st quarter of the Miami (FL) vs Clemson college football game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 1st quarter of the Miami (FL) vs Clemson college football game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s prices are driven purely by supply and demand from traders expressing their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant number of people believe Miami will win the first quarter, the price for that outcome will increase, potentially moving further away from the initial sportsbook line. However, as the event approaches, these odds often converge as more information becomes available and both markets incorporate new data.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome – either Miami or Clemson winning the first quarter. The price of each contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and place bets, the prices adjust to reflect the collective prediction. Higher prices indicate a greater perceived chance of that outcome, while lower prices suggest a lower probability. The market dynamically adjusts until the event concludes.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team leading at the end of the first quarter of the Miami vs Clemson game will be declared the winner for the purposes of this market. The official game results, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will be used to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding contracts for the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for the losing team will not.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. News regarding key player injuries for either Miami or Clemson would likely have a significant impact. Any updates on the weather forecast, particularly if it’s expected to be severe, could also shift the odds. Furthermore, pre-game analysis from sports analysts, public sentiment expressed on social media, and even early betting trends in sportsbooks can all contribute to price fluctuations. Unexpected coaching decisions or changes in team strategy announced before kickoff could also move this market.