TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 1:17 AM EST
Opinion
In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for 2026-10-04 20:05 UTC: If the Miami Dolphins win, the market will resolve to "Miami Dolphins". If the Minnesota Vikings win, the market will resolve to "Minnesota Vikings". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for 2026-10-04 20:05 UTC: If the Miami Dolphins win, the market will resolve to "Miami Dolphins". If the Minnesota Vikings win, the market will resolve to "Minnesota Vikings". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast probabilities than traditional odds, as they aggregate diverse perspectives and are directly incentivized by correct predictions.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective probability assessment of that outcome occurring. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will rise. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date information and insights available to participants, creating a real-time forecast for the Dolphins-Vikings game.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will reflect the final result of the Dolphins-Vikings game, as officially recorded by sports authorities. The market will then settle based on which outcome—a Dolphins win or a Vikings win—actually occurred. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for the losing outcome will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to the game. Any news regarding key player injuries on either the Dolphins or the Vikings would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to impact the game’s conditions, could also shift the odds. Additionally, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale, as well as significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks, could all contribute to fluctuations in this market’s pricing. Public perception and analyst predictions can also play a role.