TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 7:05 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the total points scored by both the Miami Dolphins and Minnesota Vikings specifically during the fourth quarter of their football game. Each market has a different threshold for the total points needed to trigger a 'Yes' outcome.
These markets evaluate whether the combined score of the Miami Dolphins and Minnesota Vikings exceeds specified thresholds in the fourth quarter of their game on October 4, 2026. All markets exclusively consider points scored during regulation play in the fourth quarter, with overtime points excluded. Each market defines a unique point threshold—from 3.5 to 24.5 points—which, if surpassed by the teams' collective scoring, results in a 'Yes' resolution. The structure allows participants to assess varying levels of scoring intensity expected in the final quarter, offering multiple entry points based on optimism or caution regarding the game's closing moments. All markets operate independently, meaning the outcome of one does not affect the others, and each resolves strictly based on its individual threshold.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small team of experts, while this market aggregates insights from many participants. It's common to see discrepancies emerge due to differing information or interpretations. While sportsbooks may initially react to news, this market can incorporate a wider range of factors as traders continuously update their assessments. Comparing the two can provide a more comprehensive view of potential outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the 4th quarter total. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts dynamically. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price differences, driving the market towards a consensus view of the likely 4th quarter total for the Dolphins-Vikings game.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official 4th quarter total for the MIA Dolphins vs MIN Vikings game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning contracts. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the result is officially confirmed and processed by Kalshi. It's important to monitor official sources for the final score to understand when this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to game day. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Dolphins or Vikings would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to a high-scoring or low-scoring game, could also impact trading activity. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could also play a role. Even public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can contribute to shifts in this market’s price.