TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
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2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 7:05 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate how many points the Miami Dolphins and Minnesota Vikings will score together in the second half of their football game on October 4, 2026. Each market has a different threshold for the total points needed to settle the outcome.
These markets resolve based on the total points scored by both the Miami Dolphins and Minnesota Vikings in the second half (including overtime) of their Pro Football game scheduled for October 4, 2026. Each market specifies a different point threshold; if the combined second-half points exceed that threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes.' Only points scored during the second half and any overtime periods count toward these markets. All markets are independent, meaning each threshold is evaluated separately, and the outcome of one does not affect the others. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to express their own beliefs about the outcome. If a significant number of traders believe the sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the price on Kalshi will move accordingly. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public opinion shifts regarding the Dolphins-Vikings matchup and potential scoring.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the final second-half total will be over or under the implied line. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating a stronger belief in one outcome over another. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective forecast of all participants trading on the exchange, making it a dynamic representation of expectations for the game's second half.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the second half of the Dolphins-Vikings game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, specifically the total points scored by both teams in the second half. The platform will verify the results against these official sources to determine whether the 'over' or 'under' contracts will pay out, based on the established market threshold.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Dolphins or Vikings, particularly quarterbacks or offensive playmakers, would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, such as strong winds or heavy rain, could also impact scoring expectations. Furthermore, in-game developments during the first half, like a dominant performance by one team or unexpected strategic adjustments, could shift trader sentiment and affect the price of contracts on Kalshi.