TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 5:42 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates the total number of goals scored in a specific soccer match between M'gladbach and Karlsruhe. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of goals, determining whether the game is considered high-scoring or not based on that threshold.
All markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored in the M'gladbach vs Karlsruhe professional DFB Pokal soccer match originally scheduled for October 27, 2026. The resolution occurs after the full 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time added by the referee, but explicitly excludes any goals scored during extra time or penalty shootouts. Each market has a specific numerical threshold: 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals. If the actual number of goals exceeds the respective threshold for a given market, that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. All markets operate independently, meaning the outcome of one does not affect the others. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all related trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to be more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially closer to the event date. This is because prediction markets aggregate the wisdom of the crowd, incorporating a wider range of information and perspectives than a sportsbook's team of analysts. However, sportsbook odds often reflect public perception and biases, and can be influenced by promotional offers. It's common to see differences in implied probabilities between this market and sportsbooks, particularly for less popular outcomes or events.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes – in this case, the total goals scored in the M´gladbach vs Karlsruhe match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on new information, their own analysis, and their expectations of how others will react, leading to a dynamic price discovery process. The current price indicates the cost to take one side of the bet.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the M´gladbach vs Karlsruhe match, as officially recorded by the governing football association, will determine the winning contract. Any extra time or penalty shootouts will not be considered; only goals scored during regular play count towards the resolution of this market. The final result will be publicly available following the conclusion of the match.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either M´gladbach or Karlsruhe would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact the expected goal total. Additionally, any significant shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by pre-match analysis or betting trends, could lead to price adjustments. Finally, major tactical decisions announced by either team's manager could alter expectations and move this market.