TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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M´gladbach vs Karlsruhe: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of M´gladbach vs Karlsruhe?

Volume:
$31,106

M´gladbach wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

M´gladbach wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 27, 2026

Closed: Oct 27, 5:38 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

M´gladbach wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
100%
51%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10,428
N/A
N/A
$4,865
Settled
Yes
kalshi

M´gladbach wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,084
N/A
N/A
$7,985
Settled
No
kalshi

M´gladbach wins by more than 3.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,619
N/A
N/A
$7,463
Settled
No
kalshi

Karlsruhe wins by more than 1.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,523
N/A
N/A
$2,254
Settled
No
kalshi

Karlsruhe wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$453
N/A
N/A
$450
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event tracks the performance of two soccer teams in an upcoming match, focusing on the margin of victory. It evaluates whether one team manages to win by a specific number of goals more than their opponent. The outcome depends purely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts.

Kalshi

The event consists of four distinct markets, each evaluating different goal-differential scenarios for the M´gladbach vs Karlsruhe DFB Pokal soccer match scheduled for October 27, 2026. All resolutions are based solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with extra time and penalty outcomes excluded. Market One resolves to Yes if M´gladbach wins by more than 2.5 goals. Market Two resolves to Yes if M´gladbach wins by more than 1.5 goals. Market Three resolves to Yes if Karlsruhe wins by more than 1.5 goals. Market Four resolves to Yes if Karlsruhe wins by more than 2.5 goals. Each market operates independently, and the secondary disclaimer clarifies that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the governing league or its intellectual property.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the M´gladbach vs Karlsruhe match tracks the current price of contracts representing different outcomes for the spread. You can view the historical price action, allowing you to analyze how the market has moved over time. The dashboard also displays the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $22,236, and the total volume traded to date, which is $31,106. This provides insight into how actively traders are participating in this market and the overall interest in the event.

Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their beliefs and trade accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Analyzing these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making, though it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of a particular outcome occurring. As more people buy contracts predicting an outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism means the market constantly adjusts to reflect the latest information and collective sentiment of traders. The current price reflects the aggregated expectations of all participants regarding the spread in the M´gladbach vs Karlsruhe match.

This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final spread of the M´gladbach vs Karlsruhe match as reported by official sources. It’s important to note that the specific details of the spread will be the determining factor for settlement, and the market will close once a definitive result is available. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will be settled.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team, changes in team form, or even weather conditions could impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team tactics or starting lineups could also cause significant movement. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants could shift the price, reflecting new information or a change in outlook. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the M´gladbach vs Karlsruhe match will be crucial for understanding potential price fluctuations.