TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 10:50 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match in the Slovakian Cup between two teams. The result will be determined based on the final score after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time. Markets will reflect whether one team wins outright or if the game ends in a tie within this regulation time.
The event resolves based on the result of the MFK Vranov Nad Topou versus Banska Bystrica professional Slovakian Cup soccer match scheduled for October 14, 2026. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the associated team wins the game within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined per the event rules. The resolution strictly considers the outcome within regulation time, with no regard to post-regulation proceedings.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance their risk, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. These differences can arise from varying information sources, biases, and the incentive structures of each venue. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast probabilities, especially as event time approaches and more information becomes available. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, with higher demand pushing prices up and lower demand pushing them down. Currently, the volume traded in this market is $27,681.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Slovak football match between MFK Vranov Nad Topou and Banska Bystrica. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the incorrect outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could significantly shift expectations. Weather conditions on match day, particularly if they are unfavorable for one team’s playing style, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, public sentiment and analysis from sports commentators could sway traders’ opinions, leading to price fluctuations. Even late-breaking news about team morale or internal conflicts could move this market before Oct 14, 2026.