TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$192,072,993
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,842,388,377
408,027
Markets across
40,419
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 2:39 AM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for October 5 at 10:30 PM ET.
More markets for the FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for October 5 at 10:30 PM ET.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds to ensure profitability, while this market aims to represent the true probability as assessed by traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply variations in opinion. If significant differences emerge, it may suggest that the crowd believes a sportsbook has mispriced a particular outcome, or vice versa. Analyzing these differences can be a valuable exercise for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price fluctuates, reflecting the collective wisdom of the crowd. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket, and doesn’t rely on external factors or oracles beyond the eventual event outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will reflect the final result of the Mexico vs. Chile match, as officially recorded by recognized sports authorities. The process relies on publicly available data to determine the winner, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the resolution is finalized and the results are validated.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 7, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or shifts in coaching strategies could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or controversies surrounding the match could also play a role. Furthermore, major upsets in other related matches or broader sporting events might affect overall confidence in either team, leading to price adjustments. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential market movements.