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$154.2b

24H VOL:

$203,036,808

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,857,846,526

408,774

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40,345

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4,373

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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Mexico vs Chile
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What is the result of Mexico vs Chile?

Volume:
$7,750,301

Chile

 - Kalshi

Chile - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 7, 2026

Closed: Oct 7, 12:44 AM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Chile

View
100%
83%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,347,137
N/A
N/A
$1,905,346
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Mexico

0%
62%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,915,243
N/A
N/A
$2,025,662
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,487,921
N/A
N/A
$810,009
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Intro

This market tracks whether Chile will win the Mexico vs Chile international friendly soccer match. Currently, Kalshi gives Chile a 98.0% probability of winning, with a 2.0% probability assigned to a tie. The market resolves based on the outcome of the game after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as determined by the official result reported for the match, according to Kalshi. Traders should watch for the final whistle on October 6, 2026, as the result at the end of regulation time will determine the market’s outcome.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the result of the Mexico vs Chile professional international friendly soccer match scheduled for October 6, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. A win for Mexico resolves the 'Mexico' market to Yes; a win for Chile resolves the 'Chile' market to Yes; and a tie resolves the 'Tie' market to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours away from the original date, all markets resolve to a fair price.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Mexico vs Chile match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of different outcomes shifts over time as traders buy and sell contracts. Currently, the total volume for this market is $7,750,301, with $7,522,050 traded in the last 24 hours. This provides a real-time view of where the crowd believes the outcome of the match is headed, and allows you to analyze trading activity to understand market sentiment.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and opinions from participants. As more information becomes available – such as team news or changes in player form – the prediction market odds can adjust more quickly than traditional sportsbook odds. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before the event, as the market digests new data and reacts to evolving expectations.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time, providing a forward-looking view of the event's potential results. The current market reflects the collective intelligence of those trading on Kalshi.

This market resolves around Oct 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Mexico vs Chile match, as reported by official sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and settle all outstanding contracts. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when the market will be officially closed and payouts calculated.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Mexico or Chile would likely cause substantial shifts in the odds. Unexpected changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the coaches, or even weather conditions on match day could also influence trading activity. Major upsets in other relevant matches or significant public sentiment shifts, reflected in polls or media coverage, could also contribute to movement in the market. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential price fluctuations.