TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Mexico Grand Prix Main Race: Top Constructor
kalshi

Which team will win Mexico Grand Prix?

Volume:
$15,552

Red Bull Racing

 - Kalshi

Red Bull Racing - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Nov 1, 2026

Closed: Nov 1, 10:13 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Red Bull Racing

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,912
N/A
N/A
$1,798
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ferrari

0%
62%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,092
N/A
N/A
$4,624
Settled
No
kalshi

Mercedes AMG Motorsport

0%
52%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,340
N/A
N/A
$3,564
Settled
No
kalshi

Audi F1 Team

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,578
N/A
N/A
$1,578
Settled
No
kalshi

McLaren

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,442
N/A
N/A
$1,351
Settled
No
kalshi

Williams

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$188
N/A
N/A
$188
Settled
No
kalshi

Cadillac

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

Aston Martin F1 Team

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Haas F1 Team

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Alpine F1 Team

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Racing Bulls

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

The outcome depends on whether any driver from a specific racing team wins the main event of the Mexico Grand Prix scheduled for November 1, 2026. The result hinges solely on the race's final classification, ensuring accuracy and fairness in determination.

Kalshi

Each market resolves to Yes if either driver from the specified constructor finishes first in the main race originally scheduled for November 1, 2026, at the 2026 Mexico Grand Prix, based on the official Final Race Classification posted by FIA. If both drivers from a constructor retire, are disqualified, or are otherwise not classified as finishers, the market resolves to No. Should the race be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original start time, markets remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the race is cancelled, moved to a different circuit, or fails to start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. All determinations rely exclusively on the FIA's official classification, with no consideration given to provisional results.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Formula 1 constructor battle tracks the current odds for each team to be named the top constructor in the Mexico Grand Prix Main Race. It displays the implied probabilities, price history, and 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $5,542. Total volume for this market is $15,552. The dashboard provides a real-time view of how traders are assessing the likelihood of each constructor’s success, offering insights into the dynamic expectations surrounding this competition.

Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. This is because prediction markets aggregate the wisdom of many individual traders, potentially incorporating information and analysis not fully reflected in traditional betting markets. While sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and risk assessment, this market reflects the collective belief of participants actively trading on Kalshi. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, access to information, or simply the unique dynamics of each market.

This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will settle based on the official results published by the Formula 1 organization, determining which constructor achieved the highest points total in the Mexico Grand Prix Main Race. The final standings will be used to verify the winning constructor, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in their positions on Kalshi.

Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before the race. Unexpected driver changes, significant car upgrades announced by teams, or even weather forecasts predicting challenging conditions could all shift trader sentiment. Performance during practice and qualifying sessions will provide valuable data points, potentially causing a reassessment of each constructor's chances. Any news regarding driver health or mechanical issues could also trigger substantial movement in the odds, as traders adjust their predictions based on the latest information available.