TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 3:00 PM EST
Predict
In the upcoming college football game between Merrimack and Yale, scheduled for October 3 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Merrimack" if Merrimack win the game. This market will resolve to "Yale" if Yale win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the upcoming college football game between Merrimack and Yale, scheduled for October 3 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Merrimack" if Merrimack win the game. This market will resolve to "Yale" if Yale win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect information and opinions that differ from those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective forecasts of individual traders. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly when there's strong public sentiment or inside information not yet reflected in sportsbook lines. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook odds, especially as new information becomes available or as the event draws nearer. Comparing the two can offer a broader perspective on the likely outcome.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform's interface displays these probabilities in real-time, allowing traders to react to new information and adjust their positions accordingly. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the latest collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Merrimack vs. Yale game, as officially reported by a recognized sports authority, will determine the winning contract. The platform will then distribute payouts to traders who correctly predicted the outcome. It’s important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available information to ensure a fair and transparent outcome for all participants in this market.
Several signals could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Merrimack or Yale teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in coaching strategies, weather forecasts for the game day, or even significant shifts in public sentiment, as reflected in social media or sports news, could also cause the odds to shift. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or any controversies surrounding the game could also contribute to volatility in this market up until Oct 3, 2026.