TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 1:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of the first half of a college football game between Merrimack and Yale. It focuses solely on which team leads at halftime, without considering the full-game result. Bettors can speculate on whether Yale, Merrimack, or neither team will be ahead after the first half ends.
If Yale wins the 1st half of the Merrimack vs Yale college football game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Merrimack wins the 1st half of the Merrimack vs Yale college football game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 1st half of the Merrimack vs Yale college football game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome of the first half. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy 'yes' contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability of that outcome, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing allows for a real-time assessment of expectations for the Merrimack vs Yale game.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the first half of the Merrimack vs Yale game will be used to determine the winning outcome. The platform will verify the official result against widely available sources to ensure accuracy. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding contracts on the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding player injuries or changes to the starting lineups for either Merrimack or Yale would likely cause significant movement. Unexpected weather conditions that might affect gameplay could also shift the odds. Additionally, any significant news or analysis regarding team performance or strategic advantages could impact trader sentiment and therefore the price of contracts in this market. Public perception and late-breaking information will all contribute to price discovery until the game begins.