TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Sports
Merrimack vs Yale
kalshi

What is the result of Merrimack vs Yale?

Volume:
$290,191

Yale

 - Kalshi

Yale - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 3, 2026

Closed: Oct 3, 3:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Yale

View
100%
19%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$116,572
N/A
N/A
$56,269
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Merrimack

0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$173,619
N/A
N/A
$83,430
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Description

The outcome of a college football game between Merrimack and Yale, scheduled for October 3, 2026, is the subject of this market. The result will be dictated by which team achieves a win.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes if Yale wins the game. If Merrimack takes the victory, the market resolves to Yes for the opposite outcome. Should the game be postponed but start within 48 hours of its original schedule, the market remains open and resolves based on the official result. Cancellation or a failure to start within the 48-hour window leads to a fair price resolution, ensuring fairness and equity for all market participants.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house biases or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to balance betting action, while this market allows traders to express their independent beliefs about the game’s outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources or analytical approaches. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines as new information becomes available, and as traders adjust their positions based on their own assessments of the Merrimack vs Yale game.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Merrimack vs Yale game. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price is determined by the highest bid and lowest ask, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event’s likelihood. This mechanism allows for a fluid and responsive market reflecting evolving expectations.

This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Merrimack vs Yale game as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will then determine the winning contract based on this official result. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment. The final outcome will be publicly available on Kalshi following the event’s conclusion.

Several factors could influence this market before the game takes place. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Merrimack or Yale would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team performance leading up to the game, such as unexpected wins or losses, could also shift market sentiment. Furthermore, weather conditions on game day, or even significant pre-game analysis from sports commentators, could impact trading activity and adjust the probabilities reflected in this market. Public perception and late-breaking news are always potential catalysts for price changes.