TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 3:30 PM EST
Kalshi
The outcome of a college football game between Merrimack and Yale, scheduled for October 3, 2026, is the subject of this market. The result will be dictated by which team achieves a win.
The market resolves to Yes if Yale wins the game. If Merrimack takes the victory, the market resolves to Yes for the opposite outcome. Should the game be postponed but start within 48 hours of its original schedule, the market remains open and resolves based on the official result. Cancellation or a failure to start within the 48-hour window leads to a fair price resolution, ensuring fairness and equity for all market participants.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Merrimack vs Yale game. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price is determined by the highest bid and lowest ask, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event’s likelihood. This mechanism allows for a fluid and responsive market reflecting evolving expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Merrimack vs Yale game as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will then determine the winning contract based on this official result. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment. The final outcome will be publicly available on Kalshi following the event’s conclusion.
Several factors could influence this market before the game takes place. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Merrimack or Yale would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team performance leading up to the game, such as unexpected wins or losses, could also shift market sentiment. Furthermore, weather conditions on game day, or even significant pre-game analysis from sports commentators, could impact trading activity and adjust the probabilities reflected in this market. Public perception and late-breaking news are always potential catalysts for price changes.