TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 04d:18h:38m
$
This group covers the outcome of a college football game between Merrimack and Wake Forest scheduled for November 7th. Markets exist on the winner of the game, the point spread, and various over/under statistics related to scoring and team performance.
In the upcoming college football game between Merrimack and Wake Forest, scheduled for November 7 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Merrimack" if Merrimack win the game. This market will resolve to "Wake Forest" if Wake Forest win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The market resolves based on the result of the Merrimack versus Wake Forest college football game scheduled for November 7, 2026. If either team wins the game as officially recorded, the corresponding market will resolve to Yes. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves according to the final, official result. Should the game be cancelled or fail to start within the 48-hour window, the market resolves to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
In the upcoming college football game between Merrimack and Wake Forest, scheduled for November 7 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Merrimack" if Merrimack win the game. This market will resolve to "Wake Forest" if Wake Forest win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from expert analysis. It's possible to find value by comparing the implied probabilities from both sources and identifying potential mispricings in either the prediction market or the sportsbook.
Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has a different user base, trading interface, and fee structure, all of which can influence price discovery. Additionally, the volume traded on each platform can vary significantly; lower volume generally leads to wider bid-ask spreads and more price volatility. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Spread: Wake Forest (-5.5) at 100.0%, while Kalshi leans toward Wake Forest wins at 99.0%, highlighting these differing perspectives.
This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Merrimack vs. Wake Forest game, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning outcome. Traders will be able to see the final settlement details on both Polymarket and Kalshi following the conclusion of the game and verification of the results. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process for all participants.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected weather conditions could significantly impact perceptions of each team’s chances. Major media coverage or influential analysts expressing strong opinions could also sway market sentiment. Furthermore, large trades on either Polymarket or Kalshi can create momentum and drive price movements, especially with a volume of $191,068 already traded.