TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 9:29 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a men's college hockey game between Merrimack and Notre Dame, determining which team will secure a victory. The event reflects the competitive nature of collegiate sports, where each team's performance on the ice directly influences the result. Outcomes are based on the official game result, with specific conditions for ties, postponements, and cancellations.
The event resolves based on the official result of the Merrimack vs Notre Dame men's college hockey game scheduled for October 23, 2026. If Merrimack wins, the Merrimack market resolves to Yes, and the Notre Dame market resolves to No. Conversely, if Notre Dame wins, the Notre Dame market resolves to Yes, and the Merrimack market resolves to No. In the event of a tie, both markets resolve to 50/50. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the market remains open and resolves based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individuals. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook's odds are inaccurate, they can trade in this market to express that view, driving the price towards what they perceive as the true probability. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of money flows into either venue.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Merrimack vs Notre Dame game. The price of a contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the market. Buying a contract is essentially betting that the outcome will happen, while selling is betting against it. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Merrimack vs Notre Dame game, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the official game result, and any disputes will be handled according to Kalshi’s standard procedures. Traders should monitor official sources for the final game results to understand when and how this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather forecasts could all shift the perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements about team performance or significant shifts in public sentiment could also lead to price movements. Major upsets in other games involving these teams, or even broader trends in college basketball, might also impact trading. Monitoring these signals can help traders make informed decisions before the market resolves.