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$1,969,435,260

419,363

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4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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VS.

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Merrimack College Warriors vs. Florida State Seminoles (W)
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Merrimack vs Florida State?

Total volume:
$178,417
Volume 24h:
$141,177
289%
Liquidity:
$4,658
166%
Open interest:
$178,153
378%

Merrimack College Warriors vs. Florida State Seminoles (W)

 - Polymarket

Merrimack College Warriors vs. Florida State Seminoles (W) - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 2, 2026

Merrimack College Warriors vs. Florida State Seminoles (W)

49%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 48.9¢ buys you 204 shares | Odds: 49% Total Payout: $204 | Net Profit: $104 Multiplier: 2.04x | ROI: 104% | APY: N/A
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Merrimack College Warriors vs. Florida State Seminoles (W)

Trade
49%
33%
Yes 48.9¢No 75.6¢
—
$4,658
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
Active
kalshi

Florida St.

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,079
N/A
N/A
$3,815
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Merrimack

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$174,338
N/A
N/A
$174,338
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group concerns the outcome of the women's college basketball game between Merrimack College and Florida State University, originally scheduled for November 2, 2026. The markets aim to determine which team wins the game.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi defines a 'Yes' outcome for either team winning, while Polymarket focuses on the standard win condition with postponement/cancellation rules.Hero tip: Focus on Polymarket for a clearer resolution framework, as Kalshi's 'Yes' condition is redundant and doesn't add useful information.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: The market resolves based on which team wins the game on November 2nd, 6:00PM ET. If the game is postponed, the market remains open until completion. If canceled, it resolves 50-50. "This event is for the WBB game between Merrimack College Warriors and Florida State Seminoles on November 2 at 6:00PM ET."
  • Kalshi: The market resolves to 'Yes' if Florida State wins OR if Merrimack wins the game. "If Florida St. wins the Merrimack vs Florida St. women's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Merrimack wins the Merrimack vs Florida St. women's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the WBB game between Merrimack College Warriors and Florida State Seminoles on November 2 at 6:00PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the official result of the Merrimack vs Florida State women's college basketball game scheduled for November 2, 2026. If Florida State wins, its corresponding market resolves to Yes, while Merrimack’s resolves to No, and vice versa if Merrimack wins. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, both markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, both markets resolve to a fair price, reflecting an equitable settlement due to the absence of a definitive outcome. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those seen in this market, often reflect a more accurate forecast than traditional sportsbooks. This is because prediction markets incentivize participants to reveal their true beliefs, while sportsbooks need to account for profit margins and potential biases. Sportsbooks may also be slower to adjust to new information. However, sportsbooks typically offer a wider range of bet types. Comparing the implied probabilities from both sources can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the potential outcome of the Merrimack vs. Florida State game.

Differences in prices between Polymarket and Kalshi on this market can arise from several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information. Trading fees and market-making strategies also differ, influencing price discovery. Furthermore, the liquidity on each platform – currently $178,417 across both – impacts how efficiently prices reflect new information. These factors contribute to the observed discrepancies, even though both platforms ultimately aim to predict the same event.

This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Merrimack vs. Florida State game will be used to determine the winning outcome. This market’s resolution will reflect the official result as reported by governing bodies and widely recognized sports news outlets. Traders should monitor these sources as the event approaches to stay informed about potential factors influencing the final outcome.

Several signals could significantly move this market before Nov 2, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Merrimack or Florida State teams would likely have a substantial impact. Changes in coaching strategies or unexpected team performance in preceding games could also shift predictions. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media and sports news, can also influence trading activity. Finally, any official announcements related to game scheduling or venue changes could introduce volatility into this market.