TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

24H VOL:

$279,496,801

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

40,107

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Sports
Mercyhurst vs. Western Kentucky
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Mercyhurst vs. Western Kentucky?

Volume:
$261,616

Western Kentucky

 - Kalshi

Western Kentucky - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 11, 2026

Closed: Sep 26, 10:14 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Western Kentucky

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$23,649
N/A
N/A
$21,212
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 57.5

100%
49%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,734
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 55.5

100%
45%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,133
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Mercyhurst

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$230,106
N/A
N/A
$224,911
Settled
No
polymarket

Mercyhurst vs. Western Kentucky

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,535
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 63.5

0%
36%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,205
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 67.5

0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$122
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 59.5

0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$73
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 61.5

0%
41%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$59
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -20.5

0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -17.5

0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -16.5

0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -14.5

0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -13.5

0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -10.5

0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -8.5

0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -7.5

0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -6.5

0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -5.5

0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -4.5

0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -3.5

0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -2.5

0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -1.5

0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -0.5

0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -0.5

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 173

Intro

This market tracks the total receptions for Western Kentucky in their college football game against Mercyhurst. Currently, the consensus probability that Western Kentucky will exceed 24.5 total receptions is 100.0%. This prediction is an aggregation of views from Polymarket and Kalshi, and will be resolved based on data reported by https://www.ncaa.com/. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for September 26th, as the final reception count will determine the outcome of this market.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi offers a broad 'either team wins' market, while Polymarket provides granular markets for specific outcomes (winner, spread, over/under).Hero tip: Understand the specific market you are trading. Kalshi's binary outcome differs significantly from Polymarket's more detailed options.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if either Mercyhurst or Western Kentucky wins the game. "If Western Kentucky wins the Mercyhurst vs Western Kentucky college football game originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Mercyhurst wins the Mercyhurst vs Western Kentucky college football game originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes."
  • Polymarket: Offers multiple markets: winner (Mercyhurst or Western Kentucky), spread (with varying point differentials), and over/under totals. Resolution depends on the final score and specified thresholds. "This market will resolve to "Mercyhurst" if Mercyhurst win the game. This market will resolve to "Western Kentucky" if Western Kentucky win the game."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming college football game between Mercyhurst and Western Kentucky, scheduled for September 26 at 7:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Mercyhurst" if Mercyhurst win the game. This market will resolve to "Western Kentucky" if Western Kentucky win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes for the respective team if they win the college football game originally scheduled for September 26, 2026. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the market remains open and resolves based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair price.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those available on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect a more diverse range of information than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while prediction markets aggregate the wisdom of the crowd. This can lead to differences in probabilities, as prediction markets are less susceptible to biases inherent in sportsbook modeling. However, both offer insights into the perceived likelihood of various outcomes, and arbitrage opportunities can sometimes exist between them. The current volume on this market is $261,616.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading fees, and liquidity, all of which can influence price discovery. Furthermore, different platforms may attract different types of traders – some more sophisticated, others more casual – leading to varying interpretations of the available information. The volume traded on each platform also plays a role; higher volume generally indicates greater confidence in the price. Currently, the volume is $261,616 and traders are actively adjusting their positions.