TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$172,394,893
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,821,572,886
404,136
Markets across
40,075
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 3:20 PM EST
Kalshi
Two college football teams compete in a match where the winner is determined by the final score. The contest emphasizes physical conditioning, game planning, and leadership under pressure.
The market resolves to Yes if the specified team wins the college football game originally scheduled for October 31, 2026. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market represents the aggregated beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. If sportsbook odds heavily favor one team, but volume in this market is spread more evenly, it suggests traders believe the outcome is less certain than sportsbooks indicate. These differences can present opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective expectation of the event's outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. As more volume flows into contracts predicting a specific result, the price of those contracts rises, indicating a higher perceived probability. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions accordingly.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Mercyhurst vs Stonehill game, as officially recorded by the relevant sporting authorities. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which contracts will pay out. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will not. The entire process is designed to be transparent and based on objective data.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Mercyhurst or Stonehill teams would likely cause the market to shift. Unexpected changes in coaching strategies, weather forecasts impacting game conditions, or even significant shifts in public sentiment could also influence trading activity. Major upsets in other games involving these teams, or even broader conference standings implications, could also move the market. Monitoring these factors and their potential impact on the game’s outcome is crucial for traders.