TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 1:28 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will lead at the end of the first half in an upcoming college football game between Mercyhurst and LIU. It focuses solely on the performance during the initial 30 minutes of play, ignoring the final game result. The outcome depends purely on who holds the advantage after the first half concludes.
If LIU wins the 1st half of the Mercyhurst vs LIU college football game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Mercyhurst wins the 1st half of the Mercyhurst vs LIU college football game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 1st half of the Mercyhurst vs LIU college football game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and place their bets, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to new information and changing perceptions about the likelihood of each team winning the first half. The current market price indicates what traders collectively believe is the chance of each outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on which team is leading at the end of the first half of the Mercyhurst vs LIU game. Official game results will be used to determine the winning outcome. The platform will verify the result against credible public sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the first-half winner will receive a payout based on the final market prices at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries or changes to the starting lineups for either Mercyhurst or LIU would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected weather conditions, if the game is played outdoors, could also shift the odds. Furthermore, significant betting activity – a large influx of volume on one particular outcome – could cause the market to react quickly. Finally, any updates on team performance or strategic adjustments announced by coaches could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.