TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 03d:06h:24m
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This event group concerns the outcome of a college basketball game between the Mercyhurst Lakers and the Notre Dame Fighting Irish, originally scheduled for November 5, 2026. The markets resolve to either Mercyhurst Lakers winning or Notre Dame Fighting Irish winning, with a no-result provision for cancellation or abandonment.
In the upcoming CBB game between Mercyhurst Lakers and Notre Dame Fighting Irish, originally scheduled for Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Saturday, November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
The market resolves to Yes if the specified team wins the Mercyhurst vs Notre Dame men's college basketball game originally scheduled for November 5, 2026. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. Should the game be cancelled or not commence within 48 hours of the scheduled start, both markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi notes it is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks, logos, and brand names belong to their respective owners.
In the upcoming CBB game between Mercyhurst Lakers and Notre Dame Fighting Irish, originally scheduled for Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Saturday, November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect the collective intelligence of a diverse group of participants, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow anyone to express their belief about the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from expert opinion. While sportsbooks may incorporate factors like team news and injuries, this market aggregates a broader range of information and perspectives from informed traders.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict may differ due to variations in user base, trading activity, and the specific mechanisms each platform employs. Polymarket currently favors Mercyhurst Lakers vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish at a probability of 31%, while Predict also leans towards Mercyhurst Lakers vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish. These differences can arise from differing levels of information available to traders on each platform, or simply from the unique risk preferences and trading strategies of their respective communities. Volume can also play a role; lower volume on one platform may lead to greater price volatility and divergence.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the college basketball game will be used to determine the winning outcome. This market is designed to reflect the real-world outcome of the game, as reported by official sources. Traders should monitor reputable sports news outlets for updates as the resolution date approaches, ensuring they are aware of the official result that will be used to settle this market.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before it resolves around Nov 6, 2026. Major news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either the Mercyhurst Lakers or Notre Dame Fighting Irish would likely cause shifts in probabilities. Unexpected coaching changes or significant changes in team performance during upcoming games could also influence trader sentiment. Furthermore, any public statements from key players or coaches that impact perceived team morale or strategy could move the market, as traders adjust their predictions based on the latest available information.