TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Mercyhurst Lakers vs. Central Connecticut State Blue Devils
Volume:
$244,660
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Mercyhurst Lakers and Central Connecticut State Blue Devils scheduled for February 26, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline winner, point spread outcomes at multiple thresholds (-3.5, -4.5, -5.5), and total points over/under at four different lines (137.5, 138.5, 139.5, 140).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline markets contain a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Mercyhurst win and Central Connecticut win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket markets are logically consistent with mutually exclusive outcomes.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading Kalshi moneyline markets for this event due to the unresolvable logical contradiction. Focus on Polymarket markets (moneyline, spreads, totals) which have clear, mutually exclusive resolution paths. Confirm game is played and not canceled before any settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline markets state: 'If Mercyhurst wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Central Connecticut wins...resolves to Yes'. This creates a logical impossibility where both mutually exclusive outcomes map to the same resolution state, making the market unresolvable.
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to 'Mercyhurst Lakers' if Mercyhurst wins OR 'Central Connecticut State Blue Devils' if Central Connecticut wins — mutually exclusive outcomes. Spreads resolve based on margin thresholds (4+, 5+, 6+ point wins). Totals resolve Over if combined score meets or exceeds threshold (138, 139, or 140), Under otherwise. All outcomes are logically consistent and resolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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