TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 4:30 PM EST
Predict
In the upcoming college football game between Mercer and VMI, scheduled for October 3 at 1:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Mercer" if Mercer win the game. This market will resolve to "VMI" if VMI win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the upcoming college football game between Mercer and VMI, scheduled for October 3 at 1:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Mercer" if Mercer win the game. This market will resolve to "VMI" if VMI win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin for themselves. This market, however, is driven purely by the collective predictions of traders, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on expert analysis, this market reflects the wisdom of the crowd, and can shift rapidly based on new information or changing sentiment. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, offering opportunities for informed traders.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the game's potential results. The current price indicates the collective belief of those trading on Predict regarding the likelihood of each team winning.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Mercer vs. VMI game, as officially recorded, will determine the winning outcome in this market. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure an objective and accurate determination of the winner. Traders will be able to see the confirmed outcome reflected in the market's history, and payouts will be distributed accordingly based on their positions.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team would likely have a significant impact. Changes in coaching strategies, weather forecasts for the game day, or even unexpected team performance in preceding games could all shift trader sentiment. Public perception, fueled by media coverage or social media discussions, can also play a role. Unexpected announcements or developments related to either Mercer or VMI could cause rapid adjustments to the probabilities reflected in this market.