TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 9:57 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match in Germany's 3. Liga between Meppen and Wurzburg. The resolution depends solely on which team wins the match within the regular 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. If the match ends in a tie, a separate market will resolve accordingly.
The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Meppen vs Wurzburg professional German 3. Liga soccer match scheduled for October 24, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. A 'Yes' outcome for Meppen or Wurzburg markets occurs only if that specific team wins the match outright within regular time. The 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes' if the game concludes with an equal score after the same duration. Should the match be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The markets are independent of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the views of many individuals. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of trading activity. It’s common to see prediction market probabilities shift as new information emerges, potentially leading to odds that diverge from initial sportsbook offerings. Analyzing these differences can be a valuable exercise for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Meppen vs Wurzburg match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective belief. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a continuous double auction, meaning prices are determined by the highest bid and lowest ask, creating a dynamic and transparent pricing mechanism. This allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Meppen vs Wurzburg match as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and settle all outstanding contracts. Traders should monitor official sources for the final match result to understand how this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Oct 24, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or tactical adjustments could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions or referee announcements might also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity from large traders or shifts in public opinion could drive price movements. Monitoring sports news, team announcements, and overall market sentiment will be crucial for understanding potential catalysts that could impact the odds.