TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 9:58 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match in Germany's third-tier league. The game features two teams competing to determine a winner within the standard 90-minute regulation time plus any added stoppage time. The result will reflect whether one team secures a victory or if the match ends evenly without proceeding to extra time or penalty kicks.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Meppen vs Stuttgart II professional German 3. Liga soccer match scheduled for October 10, 2026, after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Meppen, a win for Stuttgart II, or a tie. If the match concludes with either team winning in regulation time, the corresponding market will resolve to Yes. Should the game end in a tie after regulation, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following Kalshi’s standard procedures. The markets are independent of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to be more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, as they reflect the wisdom of the crowd and incentivize informed trading. However, there can be initial discrepancies. Sportsbooks often set lines to attract action, while this market relies on traders directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. It’s common to see prediction market odds move closer to the eventual result as more information becomes available and traders refine their assessments. Comparing the two can reveal potential value opportunities for informed bettors.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Meppen vs Stuttgart II match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the likely result. The higher the demand for a particular outcome, the higher its price will climb.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Meppen vs Stuttgart II match, as declared by the governing sporting body. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their chosen outcome matches the final result. It's important to monitor reputable sports news sources as the match progresses to stay informed about potential factors influencing the resolution.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions would likely cause price fluctuations. Additionally, the performance of both teams in their preceding matches, weather conditions on match day, and even public sentiment expressed through social media could all influence trading activity. A significant shift in betting patterns at traditional sportsbooks could also prompt traders to reassess their positions and adjust their bids on Kalshi.