This event group covers the Men's Ice Hockey match between Latvia and USA scheduled for February 12, 2026, at the Winter Olympics. The market resolves based on which team wins the game, including overtime and shootout outcomes.
Kalshi's resolution criteria state that both Latvia winning and USA winning resolve to Yes, which is logically impossible for a binary match outcome. This makes the Kalshi market fundamentally unresolvable as written.
Hero Tip:
Avoid trading the Kalshi contract until the platform clarifies whether: (1) one outcome should resolve to No, (2) this is a Yes/No-Bet where Yes means any decisive result, or (3) there is a documentation error. Polymarket's binary resolution (Latvia vs USA) is unambiguous and tradeable.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Binary outcome market: resolves to Latvia or USA based on final score including overtime/shootout. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50.
Kalshi:
Both USA win and Latvia win stated to resolve to Yes - logical contradiction that makes market unresolvable as currently documented.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.