TOTAL VOLUME:

$61.7b

24H VOL:

$229,178,007

24H TRANSACTIONS:

600,069,390

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,336,753,738

577,196

Markets across

14,485

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,077

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

50%

VS.

Kalshi:

50%

BETA
polymarket
kalshi

Men's Group C - Latvia vs. USA? Odds & Prediction Markets

Volume:
$1,933,489
PredictionHero
Men's Group C - Latvia vs. USA 0%
polymarket
United States 99%
kalshi
Latvia 1%
kalshi
Feb 2026Feb 2026Feb 2026Jun…020406080100

Closed: Feb 12, 6:10 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Description

This event group covers the Men's Ice Hockey match between Latvia and USA scheduled for February 12, 2026, at the Winter Olympics. The market resolves based on which team wins the game, including overtime and shootout outcomes.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue:

Kalshi's resolution criteria state that both Latvia winning and USA winning resolve to Yes, which is logically impossible for a binary match outcome. This makes the Kalshi market fundamentally unresolvable as written.

Hero Tip:

Avoid trading the Kalshi contract until the platform clarifies whether: (1) one outcome should resolve to No, (2) this is a Yes/No-Bet where Yes means any decisive result, or (3) there is a documentation error. Polymarket's binary resolution (Latvia vs USA) is unambiguous and tradeable.

Critical Divergence Points:

  • Polymarket:

    Binary outcome market: resolves to Latvia or USA based on final score including overtime/shootout. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50.
  • Kalshi:

    Both USA win and Latvia win stated to resolve to Yes - logical contradiction that makes market unresolvable as currently documented.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

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