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411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
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VS.
Kalshi:
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Closed: Oct 16, 11:05 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Tulane will score over 23.5 points in their upcoming college football game against Memphis. Currently, the probability of Tulane exceeding 23.5 points, as traded on Kalshi, is 99.0%. Resolution will be determined by the total points scored by Tulane in the Memphis vs Tulane game, with the market resolving to Yes if Tulane scores over 34.5 points, according to the official rules. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market will resolve based on the outcome of the originally scheduled fixture on October 16, 2026, with final settlement occurring by the resolution date of October 17, 2026.
All markets resolve based on the official final point totals of Memphis and Tulane in their college football game scheduled for October 16, 2026. For any market, if the specified team scores more points than the stated threshold (e.g., Tulane over 9.5 points), the market resolves to 'Yes.' If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under unforeseen circumstances.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different set of information and incentives than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set lines to balance action and incorporate a 'vig' or commission, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. As a result, you may find that the odds here differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks, potentially offering a more accurate reflection of the true probabilities. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges and market participants adjust their views.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different team total outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts as new information becomes available and traders update their beliefs. This creates a real-time, crowdsourced forecast of the likely team totals in the Memphis vs Tulane game.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final team totals for both Memphis and Tulane will be sourced from official game statistics. The market will settle based on whether the actual team totals fall above or below the contract values traded on Kalshi. Traders who correctly predicted the team totals will receive a payout based on the contract's price at resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Memphis or Tulane would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to one team's style of play, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, any late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could shift the market’s perception of the likely team totals. Even public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can contribute to price fluctuations in this market.