TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 9:22 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Tulane will win the first half of their college football game against Memphis by more than 2.5 points. Currently, Kalshi gives a 91.0% probability to Tulane winning the first half by over 2.5 points. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the first half of the Memphis vs Tulane game originally scheduled for Oct 16, 2026, as reported by the game’s official results. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market will resolve following the completion of the first half on or before the resolution date of 2026-10-17.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the first half of the Memphis vs Tulane college football game scheduled for October 16, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the winning team exceeds the specified point margin outlined in each individual market—ranging from narrow margins like over 2.5 points to larger margins such as over 23.5 points. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the official first-half result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point differential threshold they selected.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on internal models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price will move accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts, offering potentially advantageous opportunities for informed traders.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread of the first half of the Memphis vs Tulane game will be used to determine winning contracts. The official result will be sourced from established sports data providers and will be used to settle all outstanding contracts. Traders should monitor official sources for the confirmed first-half score to understand the resolution of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Memphis or Tulane teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team's playing style, could also impact the market. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team lineups could also shift trader sentiment. Finally, large volume trades from informed individuals or institutions could trigger price fluctuations as others react to their actions.