TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 10d:02h:38m
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This prediction market group centers around the college football game between Memphis and South Florida scheduled for November 12, 2026. Markets cover the game's outcome (win/loss), point spreads, and total points scored, both for the game overall and for individual halves/quarters, as well as team totals. Numerous spread and over/under markets are available.
In the upcoming college football game between Memphis and South Florida, originally scheduled for Thursday, November 12, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Memphis" if Memphis win the game. This market will resolve to "South Florida" if South Florida win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Saturday, November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
The event resolves based on the official result of the Memphis vs South Florida college football game scheduled for November 12, 2026. If Memphis wins, the Memphis market resolves to Yes, and the South Florida market resolves to No. Conversely, if South Florida wins, the South Florida market resolves to Yes, and the Memphis market resolves to No. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of the original start time, both markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, both markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the mechanisms behind price discovery. Sportsbooks set odds based on their internal models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow anyone to trade and express their beliefs, leading to a more dynamic and potentially more accurate reflection of true probabilities. This market’s odds can be influenced by a wider range of factors, including public sentiment and expert analysis, creating a distinct view compared to conventional betting lines. The difference can sometimes be significant.
Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi may diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information, which can influence trading behavior. Trading volume also plays a role; a market with higher volume on one platform tends to have more efficient price discovery. Additionally, the specific market design—such as the types of contracts offered and the fees charged—can create discrepancies. These differences reflect the unique dynamics of each platform and the collective opinions of their traders.
This market resolves around Nov 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be based on the official outcome of the Memphis vs. South Florida game, as reported by official sources. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final result. The resolution process ensures a fair and transparent outcome for all participants in this market.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected weather conditions could shift predictions. Public sentiment, as reflected in media coverage and social media discussions, can also influence trading activity. Major upsets in other games involving these teams could also affect perceptions of their relative strengths. Furthermore, large trades on either Polymarket or Kalshi could create momentum and drive price movements in this market.