TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 11:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Memphis or Sacramento will win their professional basketball game originally scheduled for October 25, 2026. Currently, Kalshi gives Memphis a 99.0% probability of winning, while Sacramento is at 1.0%. The market resolves based on the official result of the Memphis vs Sacramento Pro Basketball game, as determined by the resolution source. Traders should watch the outcome of the game itself on October 26, 2026, as this date represents the end of the betting period and will determine final settlement.
The market resolves based on the official winner of the Memphis vs Sacramento professional basketball game scheduled for October 25, 2026. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves according to the final result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price. The outcome is determined exclusively by which team is declared the winner in the official box score, with no adjustments for overtime, technicalities, or league rulings beyond the standard game result.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own analysis and information. If there's a significant discrepancy, it might indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, and differences can arise due to varying factors and perspectives.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Memphis versus Sacramento game as reported by official sources. The market will determine which team won the game, and that result will be used to settle all outstanding contracts. Traders should monitor official sources for the final game result to understand the resolution of this market.
Several factors could influence the market price before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries to key players on either Memphis or Sacramento would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team performance, coaching decisions, or even unexpected weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, large volume trades or shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, can all contribute to fluctuations in this market. Monitoring these signals can help traders assess potential opportunities.