TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$203,036,808
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,857,846,526
408,774
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,373
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 12:19 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Memphis will win its professional basketball game against Portland, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026. Currently, Kalshi gives Memphis a 78.0% probability of winning, while Portland is at 23.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the Memphis vs Portland Pro Basketball game, as determined by the official game results. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market resolves to Yes if Memphis wins the game originally scheduled for October 29, 2026, and will be settled by October 30, 2026.
The market resolves based on the official result of the Memphis vs Portland professional basketball game scheduled for October 29, 2026. If Memphis wins, its corresponding market resolves to Yes, and Portland’s resolves to No. Conversely, if Portland wins, its market resolves to Yes, and Memphis’s resolves to No. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of the original start time, both markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The rules emphasize adherence to the official game outcome and defined timing parameters for resolution, while clarifying that Kalshi holds no affiliation with the governing league or its intellectual property.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. As more information emerges – like injury reports or team news – the prediction market can adjust more rapidly than traditional sportsbooks. This can lead to discrepancies, with this market sometimes offering more accurate probabilities than those found at sportsbooks, particularly closer to the event date.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the contract price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of those trading it. The current market depth and order book are visible directly on the Kalshi dashboard.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Memphis vs Portland game, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning contract. Traders who held contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will not. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on publicly available information, ensuring a fair and accurate outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding player injuries or changes to the starting lineups for either the Memphis or Portland teams would likely cause movement. Unexpected coaching decisions, shifts in team performance during recent games, or even significant weather conditions (if applicable) could also impact trading activity. Major news stories or public statements related to the teams or players could also shift sentiment and alter the probabilities reflected in this market. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding potential price fluctuations.