TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 2, 9:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the potential margin of victory in an upcoming men's college basketball game between Memphis and Iowa State. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded for the market to settle positively.
All markets resolve based on the official point differential from the Memphis vs Iowa State men's college basketball game scheduled for November 2, 2026. If Iowa State wins by exceeding the specified point margin defined in each market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Equivalent markets exist for Memphis winning by specified margins. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final official result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads in the Memphis vs Iowa State game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. Traders who believe a particular spread is more likely will buy contracts, driving up the price, while those who believe it’s less likely will sell. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Memphis vs Iowa State game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing body of college football, ensuring an objective and verifiable outcome. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their purchased contracts align with the actual point spread at the end of the game. The final score will determine which contracts settle in the money.
Several signals could significantly move this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Memphis or Iowa State teams would likely have a substantial impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is expected, could also shift the odds. Late-breaking news about team strategy or coaching decisions might also influence trader sentiment. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can cause rapid price movements, especially if they indicate a strong conviction about the likely outcome of the game.