TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$192,072,993
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,842,388,377
408,027
Markets across
40,419
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 9:57 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Memphis or Atlanta will win their pro basketball game scheduled for October 5, 2026. Currently, the probability of Memphis winning on Kalshi is 97.0%, while Atlanta winning is at 3.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the Memphis vs Atlanta Pro Basketball game, as determined by the game’s official result. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market will resolve to Yes if Atlanta wins the contest originally scheduled for October 5, 2026, and will resolve to No if Memphis wins.
The market resolves based on the winner of the Memphis vs Atlanta Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for October 5, 2026. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information and incentives. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise from differing levels of expertise among participants, or simply because the prediction market attracts a different set of bettors than sportsbooks. It’s common to see this market incorporate information that isn’t immediately reflected in sportsbook lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, reflecting the evolving expectations. The current price is determined by the highest bid and lowest ask, creating a real-time assessment of the potential result of the Memphis vs Atlanta game.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Memphis vs Atlanta game as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their chosen outcome aligned with the final result. The exact timing of the resolution may depend on the speed at which official results are published, but it will occur shortly after the game concludes.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or coaching strategies could significantly impact perceptions of each team’s chances. Unexpected developments like weather forecasts, or even pre-game analysis from prominent sports commentators, can also sway trader sentiment. Furthermore, large-volume trades from influential participants could create noticeable price movements, reflecting a strong conviction about a particular outcome. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding potential shifts in this market.