TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 5:20 AM EST
Opinion
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for 2026-10-10 00:00 UTC: If the Memphis Grizzlies win, the market will resolve to "Memphis Grizzlies". If the Chicago Bulls win, the market will resolve to "Chicago Bulls". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods. Resolution Source: https://www.nba.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for 2026-10-10 00:00 UTC: If the Memphis Grizzlies win, the market will resolve to "Memphis Grizzlies". If the Chicago Bulls win, the market will resolve to "Chicago Bulls". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods. Resolution Source: https://www.nba.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to differences in probabilities, especially as new information emerges. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on team statistics and expert opinions, this market can quickly adjust to incorporate factors that are less easily quantifiable, like team morale or potential injuries. It's a fascinating comparison to consider when evaluating the potential result.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time forecast. The platform doesn’t use any external factors to set the initial price; it’s entirely driven by supply and demand from users trading on Opinion.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Grizzlies-Bulls game, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning outcome in this market. The platform relies on publicly available information to verify the result, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders will be able to see the confirmed outcome and any associated payouts once the resolution is finalized on Opinion.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before the game takes place. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in starting lineups, or even unexpected coaching decisions could shift the odds. Major shifts in public perception, perhaps driven by pre-game analysis or expert predictions, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, significant betting activity itself can move the market, as traders react to each other's actions and new information. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to Oct 10, 2026.