TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 11:22 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the table tennis match between Melnik Orest and Belanchyk Dmytro in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for October 14 at 8:55AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Melnik Orest' if Melnik Orest wins against Belanchyk Dmytro. This market will resolve to 'Belanchyk Dmytro' if Belanchyk Dmytro wins against Melnik Orest. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the table tennis match between Melnik Orest and Belanchyk Dmytro in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for October 14 at 8:55AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Melnik Orest' if Melnik Orest wins against Belanchyk Dmytro. This market will resolve to 'Belanchyk Dmytro' if Belanchyk Dmytro wins against Melnik Orest. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Prediction market odds often reflect a broader range of information and perspectives than traditional sportsbook odds. While sportsbooks primarily rely on statistical models and expert analysis, this market incorporates the wisdom of the crowd, potentially leading to different probabilities. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on factors like fighter motivation, training updates, or even subtle strategic advantages. It's common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information, as traders can instantly adjust their positions based on the latest developments.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all traders participating in this market, providing a dynamic and real-time estimate of the fight’s potential result.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Melnik vs. Belanchyk fight, as determined by the relevant boxing authorities. This includes confirmation of the winner, and any potential outcomes such as a draw or a no-contest. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency in the market’s settlement.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Oct 21, 2026. News regarding injuries to either fighter, changes in their training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference dynamics could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about weight class changes or potential rule adjustments could also have a significant impact. Furthermore, any public statements from respected boxing analysts or shifts in betting odds at major sportsbooks could trigger movements in this market as traders react to new information.