TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$333,432,169

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,971,286,090

419,492

Markets across

40,634

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Melbourne United vs. Cairns Taipans
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Melbourne United vs. Cairns Taipans?

Volume:
$211,512

Cairns Taipans

 - Kalshi

Cairns Taipans - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 3, 2026

Closed: Oct 3, 7:46 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Cairns Taipans

View
100%
79%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$94,777
N/A
N/A
$47,654
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 180.5

View
100%
46%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,741
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Melbourne United

View
0%
74%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$52,692
N/A
N/A
$35,666
Settled
No
polymarket

Melbourne United (-5.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,956
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Melbourne United vs. Cairns Taipans

View
0%
80%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$40,347
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This prediction group concerns the outcome of a National Basketball League (NBL) game between Melbourne United and the Cairns Taipans. The market resolves to either Melbourne United winning or the Cairns Taipans winning, with provisions for postponed or canceled games.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The Kalshi market references a game scheduled for October 3, 2026, while Polymarket references a game scheduled for October 3 of the current year. This represents a significant date discrepancy.Hero tip: Be aware of the significant date difference. The Kalshi market refers to a game in 2026, while Polymarket references a game in the present. This makes both markets effectively distinct events, and trading on either requires understanding this fundamental difference.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on the outcome of the NBL game scheduled for October 3 at 5:30AM ET. If Melbourne United wins, the market resolves to "Melbourne United". If Cairns Taipans wins, the market resolves to "Cairns Taipans". Postponements delay resolution; cancellations result in a 50-50 split.
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if Melbourne United wins the game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026 at 5:30 AM EDT, and to 'Yes' if Cairns Taipans wins the same game. This market is for a game in the future.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming NBL game, scheduled for October 3 at 5:30AM ET: If the Melbourne United win, the market will resolve to "Melbourne United". If the Cairns Taipans win, the market will resolve to "Cairns Taipans". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

If Melbourne United wins the Cairns Taipans vs Melbourne United men's professional Australia NBL basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026 at 5:30 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Cairns Taipans wins the Cairns Taipans vs Melbourne United men's professional Australia NBL basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026 at 5:30 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of various outcomes in the NBL championship race, specifically focusing on the Melbourne United vs. Cairns Taipans matchup. It aggregates data from both platforms to provide a consensus view of the market. Currently, the combined volume across both platforms is $211,512, with Polymarket showing a strong inclination towards one outcome. This allows users to see how the collective wisdom of prediction market traders assesses the likelihood of different results as the season progresses. The dashboard offers a comprehensive look at the evolving probabilities within the NBL championship race.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect a different kind of information than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks incorporate house edges and may be influenced by public betting patterns, while prediction markets aim to represent the true probability of an event as assessed by informed traders. This market’s pricing can be seen as a ‘wisdom of the crowd’ estimate. While both attempt to forecast the same outcomes, discrepancies can arise due to differing methodologies and the incentives of participants. Comparing these odds can offer a more nuanced understanding of potential event outcomes.