TOTAL VOLUME:

$115.8b

24H VOL:

$61,772,232

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,341,650,213

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,109,914,723

311,599

Markets across

30,234

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,290

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
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Description

This event group covers the professional AFL match between Melbourne Demons and Carlton Blues scheduled for August 29, 2026. The markets resolve based on which team is officially credited with the match win according to AFL results.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms resolve based on the official AFL result, with draw or incomplete match scenarios resolving 50-50.Primary resolution logic: Official Australian Football League results

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolve to the winning team if officially credited with the match win
  • Resolve 50-50 if the match ends in a draw
  • Resolve 50-50 if the match is canceled, delayed beyond 7 days without starting, or begins but is not completed without an official winner

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Draw: Market resolves 50-50 if the official result is a draw
  • Incomplete Match: Market resolves 50-50 if the match begins but is not completed and no team is officially credited with the win
  • Cancellation: Market resolves 50-50 if the match is canceled or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning
Timing: Resolution occurs based on official AFL results, with credible reporting used if results are not published within 24 hours after the match concludesOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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Polymarket

This market refers to the AFL match between Melbourne Demons and Carlton Blues, scheduled for August 29 at 5:35AM ET. This market will resolve to "Melbourne Demons" if Melbourne Demons is officially credited with the match win. This market will resolve to "Carlton Blues" if Carlton Blues is officially credited with the match win. The official final result will be used, including extra time when the competition uses it. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Australian Football League results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the result of the professional AFL game between Carlton Blues and Melbourne Demons scheduled for August 29, 2026. If Carlton Blues wins, the Carlton Blues market resolves to Yes, and the Melbourne Demons market resolves to No. Conversely, if Melbourne Demons wins, their market resolves to Yes, and Carlton Blues' market resolves to No. In the event of a tie, both markets resolve to a 50/50 split. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks after the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price, determined in accordance with the platform's rules. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the AFL or any team, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Melbourne-Carlton AFL showdown market aggregates real-time data from multiple venues, showing how traders price the chances of each team winning. It displays total volume of $0 and 24-hour volume of $0, letting you see where interest is concentrated. The view updates continuously, so you can watch how sentiment shifts as the event approaches. This unified snapshot works for the Melbourne-Carlton AFL showdown market across all linked platforms.

On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can vary due to differences in user base, liquidity, and trading mechanics. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, one platform might attract more Australian traders who strongly favor a local team, shifting its implied odds. The other could have a global user mix, producing a more balanced view. These dynamics often cause short-term divergence until enough trading volume aligns the markets.

This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result aligns with the official AFL match result, and all platforms will update to reflect the same settled value, ensuring participants see a consistent conclusion across venues.

Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategy, or form fluctuations in the lead-up matches can all shift this market. Media narratives and betting trends may also influence trader sentiment. As Sep 5, 2026 approaches, any last-minute updates — like team selections or weather conditions — are likely to cause rapid price adjustments, so watching official team announcements and match previews is essential for spotting movement.