TOTAL VOLUME:
$115.8b
24H VOL:
$61,772,232
24H TRANSACTIONS:
1,341,650,213
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,109,914,723
311,599
Markets across
30,234
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
3,290
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
42%
VS.
Kalshi:
58%
Melbourne Demons vs. Carlton Blues
- Polymarket
Melbourne Demons vs. Carlton Blues - Polymarket
79%
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
No volume data
Aug 24
Aug 24
Aug 24
Aug 24
Aug 24
Aug 24
Vol.
$0.0
·
Resolves Sep 5, 2026
Time left: 11d:23h:54m
$
This event group covers the professional AFL match between Melbourne Demons and Carlton Blues scheduled for August 29, 2026. The markets resolve based on which team is officially credited with the match win according to AFL results.
This market refers to the AFL match between Melbourne Demons and Carlton Blues, scheduled for August 29 at 5:35AM ET. This market will resolve to "Melbourne Demons" if Melbourne Demons is officially credited with the match win. This market will resolve to "Carlton Blues" if Carlton Blues is officially credited with the match win. The official final result will be used, including extra time when the competition uses it. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Australian Football League results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
The market resolves based on the result of the professional AFL game between Carlton Blues and Melbourne Demons scheduled for August 29, 2026. If Carlton Blues wins, the Carlton Blues market resolves to Yes, and the Melbourne Demons market resolves to No. Conversely, if Melbourne Demons wins, their market resolves to Yes, and Carlton Blues' market resolves to No. In the event of a tie, both markets resolve to a 50/50 split. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks after the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price, determined in accordance with the platform's rules. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the AFL or any team, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can vary due to differences in user base, liquidity, and trading mechanics. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, one platform might attract more Australian traders who strongly favor a local team, shifting its implied odds. The other could have a global user mix, producing a more balanced view. These dynamics often cause short-term divergence until enough trading volume aligns the markets.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result aligns with the official AFL match result, and all platforms will update to reflect the same settled value, ensuring participants see a consistent conclusion across venues.
Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategy, or form fluctuations in the lead-up matches can all shift this market. Media narratives and betting trends may also influence trader sentiment. As Sep 5, 2026 approaches, any last-minute updates — like team selections or weather conditions — are likely to cause rapid price adjustments, so watching official team announcements and match previews is essential for spotting movement.