TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 9:24 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams competing in China's League 1. The result depends solely on which team secures a victory within the standard 90-minute regulation time plus any added stoppage time, excluding any potential extra time or penalty shootouts. If neither team wins during this period, the match ends in a draw.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Meizhou Hakka versus Wuxi Wugou professional China League 1 soccer match scheduled for October 10, 2026, determined after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time but excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Meizhou Hakka, a win for Wuxi Wugou, or a tie. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price according to the platform's guidelines. The event exclusively considers regulation time results, with no affiliation to the official league governing body.
Frequently, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. This is because prediction markets aggregate the wisdom of the crowd, representing a broader range of opinions and information than a sportsbook’s internal models. While sportsbooks may initially set lines based on team statistics and expert analysis, this market allows anyone to participate and express their beliefs, potentially leading to odds that reflect a more accurate probability of the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates the collective belief of traders regarding the likelihood of each team winning the Meizhou Hakka vs Wuxi Wugou match. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the latest available information.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Meizhou Hakka vs Wuxi Wugou match, as declared by the governing sports authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner and fulfill all outstanding contracts. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will settle.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market leading up to Oct 10, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or unexpected coaching decisions could significantly shift expectations. Additionally, real-time performance during the match itself, such as early goals or red cards, will undoubtedly cause rapid price fluctuations. Broader factors, like weather conditions or significant shifts in public opinion regarding team form, could also play a role in how this market evolves.