TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 4:26 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Meizhou Hakka and Shaanxi Union FC in China's League 1. The result is determined by the final score after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. The market offers three possible outcomes: a win for either team or a tie.
The event resolves based on the result of the Meizhou Hakka vs Shaanxi Union FC professional China League 1 soccer match originally scheduled for October 31, 2026. The market has three possible outcomes: Meizhou Hakka win, Shaanxi Union FC win, or a tie—all determined after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, but not including extra time or penalty kicks. If the match ends in a tie after this regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price following the platform's guidelines. Kalshi clarifies that it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the diverse perspectives of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced an outcome, they can express that view by trading on Kalshi, potentially driving the odds closer to what they perceive as the true probability. It is common to see prediction markets outperform traditional odds over time.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means that the price movements are solely determined by supply and demand within Kalshi, and do not reflect prices or activity on any other venue.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Chinese Super League match between Meizhou Hakka and Shaanxi Union FC will be used to determine the winning contract. Traders holding the contract corresponding to the actual match result will be paid out according to the market’s pricing at the time of resolution. The platform will verify the outcome against official league results and reporting.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions for either Meizhou Hakka or Shaanxi Union FC could significantly shift expectations. Additionally, updates on team form, recent match results, and even weather conditions leading up to the match could all contribute to price movements. Major shifts in public sentiment, as reflected in sports news and analysis, can also drive trading volume and alter the odds on Kalshi.