TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 9:23 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams competing in China's League 1. The result depends solely on which team wins in regular time, or if the game ends evenly. Any changes to the match schedule or cancellation will lead to a fair resolution of the market.
The event determines the winner of the Meizhou Hakka vs Nantong Zhiyun professional China League 1 soccer match scheduled for October 18, 2026, based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Three distinct markets correspond to possible outcomes: a win for Meizhou Hakka, a win for Nantong Zhiyun, or a tie. If the match concludes with a victory for either team within regular time, the respective market resolves to Yes. Should the game end in a tie after regular time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under extraordinary circumstances.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and their own risk assessment, while this market allows individuals to express their own informed opinions. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly deviates from the sportsbook’s initial assessment. Examining these differences can reveal insights into where the crowd believes sportsbooks may be over or underestimating the probability of certain outcomes for the Meizhou Hakka vs Nantong Zhiyun match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information and their own analysis, leading to dynamic price fluctuations. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will climb. This creates a real-time assessment of probabilities driven by market participants, rather than a fixed oddsmaker.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Meizhou Hakka vs Nantong Zhiyun match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders holding contracts for the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding contracts for losing outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, tactical changes, or even weather conditions could shift traders’ expectations. Unexpected announcements about key players being unavailable for the Meizhou Hakka vs Nantong Zhiyun match would likely cause significant price movement. Furthermore, major upsets in related matches or changes in public sentiment could also impact the market. Monitoring these signals and assessing their potential impact is crucial for informed trading in this market.