TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 8:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a specific esports match between two teams competing in a professional Counter-Strike 2 league. The result depends entirely on which team secures a victory in the scheduled match. Any changes to the match schedule or cancellation will adjust the resolution based on predefined fairness guidelines.
The market resolves based on the result of the Gamers Club Liga Série A 2026 CS2 match between MEIA NOITE and QUINTESSENCIA, scheduled for October 26, 2026, at 5:00 PM EDT. If MEIA NOITE wins, the corresponding market resolves to Yes; if QUINTESSENCIA wins, its market resolves to Yes. If the match is postponed beyond 48 hours of its original time, cancelled before play begins, or forfeited prior to any action, both markets resolve to the fair market price. If play starts and is later forfeited, the outcome follows the official result declared by the league or tournament organizer. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows anyone to trade based on their own insights, leading to odds that can diverge from traditional bookmakers as new information emerges. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, access to information, or simply the dynamic nature of a decentralized market. It's common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, especially for events with significant public interest.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, creating a dynamic and responsive market. The goal is for the contract prices to converge towards the true probability of each outcome as the event approaches, offering a unique perspective beyond traditional betting options. The current market reflects the aggregated beliefs of those actively trading.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the MEIA NOITE vs. QUINTESSENCIA match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available information to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final contract prices at resolution. It’s important to monitor for official announcements as the resolution date approaches.
Several signals could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding team lineups, player injuries, or changes in coaching strategies for either MEIA NOITE or QUINTESSENCIA could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected performance in prior matches, or even changes in weather conditions if the match is outdoors, could also play a role. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can also impact trading activity and therefore the market prices. Major upsets in related sporting events might also indirectly affect this market as traders reassess probabilities.