TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 3:14 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match in the Belgian Pro League between Mechelen and St. Truidense. The result is determined by which team wins the match within the regular 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. If neither team wins during this period, the match ends in a tie.
If Mechelen wins the Mechelen vs St. Truidense professional Belgian Pro League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If St. Truidense wins the Mechelen vs St. Truidense professional Belgian Pro League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result of the Mechelen vs St. Truidense professional Belgian Pro League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own research and beliefs. As more information becomes available and opinions converge, the odds on Kalshi may align more closely with, or diverge from, those found at traditional sportsbooks, depending on whether the crowd identifies information the sportsbook missed.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will reflect the official result of the Belgian Pro League match between Mechelen and St. Truidense as reported by official league sources. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances on Kalshi shortly after the official confirmation. The market’s outcome is determined by the final score of the match.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Mechelen or St. Truidense would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about key personnel or significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected in sports news and analysis, are all potential catalysts that could move this market before Oct 11, 2026. Any development that alters the perceived probability of either team winning could lead to increased volume and price fluctuations.