TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 10:23 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the table tennis match between Mazur Roman and Dunas Mykhailo in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for October 28 at 7:55AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mazur Roman' if Mazur Roman wins against Dunas Mykhailo. This market will resolve to 'Dunas Mykhailo' if Dunas Mykhailo wins against Mazur Roman. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the table tennis match between Mazur Roman and Dunas Mykhailo in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for October 28 at 7:55AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mazur Roman' if Mazur Roman wins against Dunas Mykhailo. This market will resolve to 'Dunas Mykhailo' if Dunas Mykhailo wins against Mazur Roman. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Often, prediction market odds can differ from those found at traditional sportsbooks due to the differing incentives and information sources of the participants. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, while prediction market participants are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets reflecting a 'wisdom of the crowd' effect, potentially offering more accurate probabilities, especially when public sentiment diverges from expert opinion. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly when significant public interest or unusual circumstances surround an event like the Mazur vs. Dunas match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Mazur vs. Dunas match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of the event's potential results. The current implied probability of a particular outcome is determined by the share price relative to 1; a share price of 0.60 implies a 60% chance of that outcome occurring.
This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Mazur vs. Dunas match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing body of the sport. Any disputes or challenges to the official result will be considered according to Polymarket’s guidelines, but the initial official declaration will serve as the primary basis for determining the winning outcome in this market. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several signals could influence the trading activity in this market leading up to Nov 4, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could all impact trader sentiment and shift the odds. Unexpected announcements related to the athletes’ preparation or performance, or any controversies surrounding the match, could also trigger significant movement. Public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, may also play a role, though the market’s price is ultimately determined by the collective actions of traders on Polymarket.