TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 2:24 PM EST
Kalshi
In a European basketball encounter, both teams have an opportunity to claim victory, with each potential win influencing specific market resolutions. The game is part of a major annual tournament, attracting considerable interest.
Markets resolve to Yes if the specified team wins the originally scheduled game on Oct 28, 2026, at 12:30 PM EDT. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets stay open and resolve based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not endorsed by or connected to the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. As a result, you may find discrepancies between the two. Generally, prediction markets tend to be more accurate than traditional polls or expert opinions, as traders have ‘skin in the game’ and are actively updating their beliefs based on new information. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on their own analysis and new information, leading to dynamic price fluctuations. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will climb, and vice versa. This creates a real-time assessment of probabilities driven by informed speculation.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Maxima Roma vs BC Siauliai game, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the final score and determine the winning outcome based on that information. All trading will cease once the outcome is known, and contracts will be settled accordingly. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or coaching strategies could significantly shift the perceived probabilities. Unexpected performance in prior games, or even weather conditions if the game is outdoors, might also play a role. Public sentiment, as reflected in news articles and social media, can also contribute to market movement. Major upsets in other related games could also cause traders to reassess their positions, leading to changes in the price of contracts for this market.