This event group covers the NBA game between the Dallas Mavericks and Minnesota Timberwolves scheduled for February 20, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET. Markets span moneyline outcomes, spread betting, over/under totals at multiple thresholds, first-half markets, and individual player prop bets across points, rebounds, and assists.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Kalshi and Polymarket apply identical resolution logic: official NBA box score determines outcomes, overtime is included, postponements keep markets open, cancellations without makeup resolve 50-50, and player inactivity defaults to No.
Primary resolution logic:
Official NBA box score as published on NBA.com
Core resolution logic:
Moneyline: Resolves to the team with the higher final score including all overtime periods
Spread: Resolves to Timberwolves if they win by the stated margin or more (e.g., -12.5 requires 13+ point win); otherwise resolves to Mavericks; ties resolve to Mavericks
Over/Under Totals: Resolves to Over if combined team points meet or exceed the threshold plus one (e.g., O/U 232.5 resolves Over at 233+); otherwise Under
First-Half Markets: Resolves based on halftime score only, not final score
Player Props: Resolves to Yes if player exceeds the stated threshold (e.g., 22.5 points requires 23+); resolves to No if at or below threshold or if player is inactive
Game Postponement: All markets remain open until the game is completed
Game Cancellation: If canceled with no makeup game scheduled, all markets resolve 50-50
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Tie at Full Time: Moneyline resolves to the non-Timberwolves team (Mavericks). Spread markets resolve to Mavericks regardless of spread value.
Player Inactivity: If a player is listed as inactive or does not take the court, all their prop markets resolve to No.
Game Postponement: All markets remain open and do not resolve until the game is completed on a future date.
Game Cancellation Without Makeup: All markets in the event group resolve 50-50.
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the final buzzer of the game on February 20, 2026 (or the rescheduled date if postponed), based on the official NBA box score published on NBA.com. First-half markets resolve at halftime. All player prop markets include overtime periods in their calculation.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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