TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 02d:08h:18m
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This group covers markets on the NBA game between the Dallas Mavericks and the San Antonio Spurs, originally scheduled for November 4, 2026. Markets include predicting the winner, first team to reach certain point totals, whether the game goes to overtime, and who scores first.
In the upcoming NBA game between Mavericks and Spurs, originally scheduled for Wednesday, November 4, 2026 at 9:30 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If the Mavericks win, the market will resolve to "Mavericks". If the Spurs win, the market will resolve to "Spurs". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Friday, November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
The market resolves based on the official winner of the Dallas vs San Antonio professional basketball game scheduled for November 4, 2026. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves according to the final result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within that 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The rules apply equally to both teams' outcome markets.
In the upcoming NBA game between Mavericks and Spurs, originally scheduled for Wednesday, November 4, 2026 at 9:30 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If the Mavericks win, the market will resolve to "Mavericks". If the Spurs win, the market will resolve to "Spurs". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Friday, November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for 2026-11-05 02:30 UTC: If the Dallas Mavericks win, the market will resolve to "Dallas Mavericks". If the San Antonio Spurs win, the market will resolve to "San Antonio Spurs". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods. Resolution Source: https://www.nba.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
Polymarket and Opinion can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in pricing between Polymarket and Opinion can arise from several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information regarding the Mavericks-Spurs game. Trading mechanisms also differ; Polymarket might have different fee structures or liquidity levels than Opinion, influencing how prices are formed. Furthermore, the specific questions offered on each platform can be subtly different, leading to variations in implied probabilities. These factors combined contribute to the observed price discrepancies, even though both platforms are tracking the same underlying event.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Mavericks-Spurs game, as reported by a trusted sports data source. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be rewarded based on the odds at the time of their trade, and this market will be closed once the result is confirmed.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding player injuries or changes to the starting lineups for either the Mavericks or the Spurs would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or coaching decisions could also shift predictions. Furthermore, broader basketball news, such as upsets in other games or changes in team performance, might affect overall sentiment and trading activity. Public perception, fueled by media coverage and social media discussions, can also contribute to price movements in this market.