TOTAL VOLUME:
$53.9b
24H VOL:
$231,847,320
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,314,157,835
499,417
Markets across
14,310
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,754
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Mavericks vs. Clippers
Volume:
$5,658,846
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the NBA game between the Dallas Mavericks and Los Angeles Clippers scheduled for April 7, 2026 at 10:30 PM ET. The market resolves based on which team wins the game, determined by the final score including any overtime periods. If the game is postponed, resolution is delayed until completion; if canceled with no makeup game, Polymarket resolves 50-50 while Kalshi's resolution mechanism is unclear.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market resolves to YES for both possible outcomes (Dallas wins OR Los Angeles wins), creating a logical contradiction that makes the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket correctly structures mutually exclusive outcomes (Mavericks vs. Clippers) with proper binary logic.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline market. It contains a fatal logical error where both teams winning triggers a YES resolution, making it impossible to lose. Polymarket's markets are properly structured and resolvable. Focus all trading activity on Polymarket's suite of markets.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Contains a critical logical flaw. The market states 'If Dallas wins the Dallas at Los Angeles C professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Los Angeles C wins the Dallas at Los Angeles C professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' This means the market resolves YES regardless of which team wins, violating basic binary market logic and making the market unresolvable.
- Polymarket: Aligned with proper market structure: Defines mutually exclusive outcomes where the market resolves to either 'Mavericks' or 'Clippers' based on which team wins, with clear tie-breaking rules (50-50 split if canceled with no makeup game). All 59 additional Polymarket markets follow standard resolution logic with clear thresholds, sources (NBA.com official box scores), and edge case handling.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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