TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 1:32 PM EST
Kalshi
Betting interest will focus on the margin of victory in this international friendly, with particular attention to whether Mauritius or Sri Lanka achieves a dominant win. The match offers opportunities to assess competitive balance through spread-based outcomes.
All markets resolve based on the goal differential in the Mauritius vs Sri Lanka professional international friendly soccer game scheduled for October 5, 2026, considering only goals scored during the 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time added by the referee, and excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the winning team meets or exceeds the specified margin of victory: Mauritius must win by more than 2.5 goals or more than 1.5 goals, while Sri Lanka must win by more than 1.5 goals or more than 2.5 goals. Each market is evaluated independently against its specific threshold, and all share identical timing and scope conditions regarding when and how goals count toward resolution.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective forecast of informed traders. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, particularly when there's strong public sentiment or specialized knowledge influencing the prediction market. Often, prediction markets can be more accurate than traditional polls or analyst predictions, as they incentivize participants to be well-informed and accurate in their assessments of the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The spread represents the difference between the prices of contracts for Mauritius winning and Sri Lanka winning, and this difference fluctuates based on supply and demand from traders on the exchange.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final spread of the Mauritius vs Sri Lanka cricket match, as determined by official match results. The platform will verify the outcome against publicly available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or weather conditions affecting the match could cause significant movement. Unexpected performance in preceding matches or major tournaments by either team could also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, any expert analysis or updated predictions from cricket analysts could impact the market, as traders react to new information and adjust their forecasts for the Mauritius vs Sri Lanka cricket match.