TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 1:31 PM EST
Kalshi
The match features two national teams competing in an international friendly fixture, where each aims to showcase their skills and secure a victory through scoring goals within the regular time frame of the game. This event serves as a preparatory contest, allowing both sides to evaluate their performance and strategies in a competitive setting. The outcome is determined by the teams' ability to find the back of the net during the standard match duration.
If Mauritius and Sri Lanka both score a goal in the Mauritius vs Sri Lanka Intl Friendlies match originally scheduled for Oct 5, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professional oddsmakers, while this market is driven by individual traders expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of both teams scoring. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the teams’ form. It's common to see prediction markets incorporate information more quickly than sportsbooks, especially in response to late-breaking news or changes in team lineups.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of both teams to score. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the event occurring. Traders set the odds by placing bids (to buy) and asks (to sell), and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe both teams will score, the higher the price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to reflect the collective intelligence of the market participants.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both Mauritius and Sri Lanka score at least one goal during the match. Official match results from a recognized sporting authority will be used to determine the final outcome. The platform will verify the result against these sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be paid out based on their positions in the market at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Mauritius or Sri Lanka would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, such as a recent winning or losing streak, could also shift market sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even tactical changes announced by the coaches, might also cause the price to fluctuate. Additionally, major upsets in other related matches could influence traders’ perceptions of the relative strengths of the teams.