TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 4:31 AM EST
Kalshi
These markets measure Taylor Fritz's game advantage over Matteo Arnaldi in their ATP Shanghai match. Each market sets a unique threshold for Fritz's win margin, resolving positively if he surpasses the required game differential against Arnaldi.
All markets resolve based on the game differential in favor of Taylor Fritz across the full match against Matteo Arnaldi at the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 64. A market resolves to Yes if Fritz's game count exceeds the opponent by more than the specified threshold (-6.5 or -3.5 games), while one market resolves to Yes if Arnaldi holds a differential above -1.5 games. If the match does not occur before play begins due to injury, walkover, forfeiture, or cancellation, all markets resolve to a fair price. Postponements or delays keep markets open until the rescheduled match concludes, with resolution within two weeks. If a player retires, markets settle based on completed play where possible; unresolved markets resolve to Fair Market Price at the Exchange's discretion. Kalshi disclaims official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.