TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Sports
Matteo Arnaldi vs Taylor Fritz: Game Spread
kalshi

Matteo Arnaldi vs Taylor Fritz: Game Spread

Volume:
$11,074

Taylor Fritz -3.5 games

 - Kalshi

Taylor Fritz -3.5 games - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 10, 2026

Closed: Oct 10, 4:31 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Taylor Fritz -3.5 games

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10,733
N/A
N/A
$8,142
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Taylor Fritz -6.5 games

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$324
N/A
N/A
$324
Settled
No
kalshi

Matteo Arnaldi -1.5 games

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17
N/A
N/A
$15
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

These markets measure Taylor Fritz's game advantage over Matteo Arnaldi in their ATP Shanghai match. Each market sets a unique threshold for Fritz's win margin, resolving positively if he surpasses the required game differential against Arnaldi.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the game differential in favor of Taylor Fritz across the full match against Matteo Arnaldi at the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 64. A market resolves to Yes if Fritz's game count exceeds the opponent by more than the specified threshold (-6.5 or -3.5 games), while one market resolves to Yes if Arnaldi holds a differential above -1.5 games. If the match does not occur before play begins due to injury, walkover, forfeiture, or cancellation, all markets resolve to a fair price. Postponements or delays keep markets open until the rescheduled match concludes, with resolution within two weeks. If a player retires, markets settle based on completed play where possible; unresolved markets resolve to Fair Market Price at the Exchange's discretion. Kalshi disclaims official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.