TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$235,918,089

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

Markets across

40,428

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Troy Trojans
⌛Ending Soon
polymarket
predict
kalshi

Who will win Massachusetts Minutemen vs Troy Trojans?

Total volume:
$2,989
Volume 24h:
$2,989N/A
Liquidity:
$22,288
704%
Open interest:
$1,351
1,930,529%

Troy

 - Kalshi

Troy - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 2, 2026

Time left: 05h:12m:22s

Troy wins

59%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 59¢ buys you 169 shares | Odds: 59% Total Payout: $169 | Net Profit: $69 Multiplier: 1.69x | ROI: 69% APY not meaningful
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Troy

Trade
59%
Yes 59¢No 42¢
1¢
N/A
$680
913,000%
N/A
$670
5h 12m
Active
kalshi

UMass

42%
Yes 42¢No 59¢
1¢
N/A
$691
0%
N/A
$681
5h 12m
Active
predict

Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Troy Trojans

42%
Yes 43¢No 59¢
2¢
$5,276
$3
0%
N/A
N/A
2h 12m
Active
polymarket

Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Troy Trojans

42%
1%
Yes 42¢No 59¢
1¢
$17,013
$1,614
0%
N/A
N/A
2h 12m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
41.5%
Yes 42.5¢No 59¢
Avg: 1.5¢Max: 2¢
Total markets: 4

Description

This event group concerns the outcome of a college basketball game between the Massachusetts Minutemen and the Troy Trojans, scheduled for November 2nd. The markets aim to predict which team will win the game, with provisions for handling postponements and cancellations.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution criteria are overly broad, resolving to 'Yes' regardless of which team wins, while Polymarket correctly resolves to the specific winning team.Hero tip: Prioritize Polymarket as the more standard and reliable market for predicting the game's winner. Kalshi's logic is non-standard and could lead to confusion.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: The market resolves to the winning team: 'Massachusetts Minutemen' or 'Troy Trojans'. If the game is postponed, it remains open. If canceled, it resolves 50-50. "If the Massachusetts Minutemen win, the market will resolve to "Massachusetts Minutemen". If the Troy Trojans win, the market will resolve to "Troy Trojans".
  • Kalshi: The market resolves to 'Yes' if either Troy or UMass wins. "If Troy wins the UMass vs Troy men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If UMass wins the UMass vs Troy men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the CBB game between Massachusetts Minutemen and Troy Trojans on November 2 at 7:00PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes for the respective team if they win the game as scheduled on Nov 2, 2026. If postponed but starts within 48 hours, the market stays open for resolution based on the final result. Cancellations or failures to start within 48 hours lead to a fair price resolution for both markets.

Predict

This event is for the CBB game between Massachusetts Minutemen and Troy Trojans on November 2 at 7:00PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the outcome of the college football matchup between the Massachusetts Minutemen and the Troy Trojans. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Troy Trojans at 41.5%, while Kalshi leans toward Troy wins at 59.0%. The aggregated volume across both platforms is $2,945, providing insight into where the consensus view currently lies. This allows users to compare predictions and see how the market is interpreting the likelihood of each team winning this game.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi for this market, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow traders to freely express their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets may incorporate information not fully captured by sportsbook algorithms. The 24-hour volume for this matchup is $2,945, indicating active trading and evolving probabilities. It’s important to compare both to inform your own assessment.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Each platform has its own user base with varying expertise and information, leading to different interpretations of the same event. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume on one platform can lead to more efficient price discovery, while lower volume may result in greater price fluctuations. Additionally, the platforms may have different fee structures or liquidity provisions, influencing trader behavior. Currently, Polymarket and Kalshi show differing probabilities for the outcome of the college football matchup.

This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official outcome of the Massachusetts Minutemen versus Troy Trojans game. The platform will verify the final score against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be paid out according to the market’s payout structure at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor news sources leading up to the resolution date for any relevant updates.

Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Massachusetts Minutemen or the Troy Trojans would likely cause price movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is predicted for the game location, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected coaching changes or significant shifts in team performance during other games could also shift probabilities. Public sentiment, as reflected in media coverage and social media, can also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.